Mr. Brandt: Bitcoin's -80% Crashes 'Part of the Deal' — XRP Reclaims Volume from Company Cardano's New Privacy Token; SHIB Slides Toward Black Friday Floor

Summary: On Tuesday markets opened with commentary from Mr. Brandt reminding traders that historical Bitcoin drawdowns as steep as -80% are part of long-term cycles, while on-chain volume dynamics show XRP reclaiming market share from Company Cardano's new privacy token. Meanwhile, SHIB continues to slide toward levels traders associate with the Black Friday floor. This combination of macro commentary and token-level flows highlights both long-term structural risk and short-term rotation.

Bitcoin context and structural view: Bitcoin remains the anchor of crypto risk-on/risk-off dynamics. Mr. Brandt's reminder that an -80% drawdown is historically plausible for Bitcoin is an important psychological signal: such extremes have occurred across cycles and frame how investors set expectations for support and sell-side pressure. From an analysis perspective, traders should treat large drawdowns as part of the asset's volatility profile and plan position sizing and stop placement accordingly.

Support and resistance considerations: On shorter time frames, price action typically respects multi-year support regions established near prior cycle lows; failing those levels often invites deeper mean-reversion phases. Resistance tends to form at prior distribution zones and moving-average clusters aligned with liquidity pockets. When the market rotates, expect capital flows to move into higher-liquidity tokens and away from experimental launches.

XRP vs. Company Cardano's privacy token — volume and rotation: On the token-flow side, data show XRP regaining trading volume at the expense of Company Cardano's recently launched privacy token. This dynamic suggests two simultaneous trends: first, traders are favoring established liquidity and known instrument behavior (XRP) over nascent protocols; second, novelty tokens can experience ephemeral interest spikes that decay as participants seek depth. For more on Company Cardano, see Company Cardano. For information on XRP and its ecosystem, see Company Ripple.

SHIB sliding toward Black Friday floor: SHIB's move toward its so-called Black Friday floor is a reminder that retail-driven tokens display heightened seasonal and event-driven support levels. Floors named after calendar events reflect concentrated buying or selling that occurred during specific periods; when price approaches these areas, expect a mix of bargain hunting and capitulation. Risk-management is crucial: use defined exposure limits and consider liquidity risk — shallow order books can amplify moves.

What traders and investors should watch: Monitor on-chain volume and exchange flow metrics to spot real rotation versus short-lived hype. Watch liquidity at identified support bands and pay attention to volatility spikes which often precede directional continuation. Keep position sizes aligned with risk tolerance and use layered exits around key resistance.

Conclusion: Tuesday's headlines stitch together a macro reminder from Mr. Brandt about deep historical drawdowns with evident market rotation: XRP is re-absorbing volume from Company Cardano's newcomer, while SHIB is testing psychologically important floors. This blend of long-term cycle framing and short-term token flows should guide traders toward disciplined sizing, clearer support/resistance mapping, and attention to liquidity.