Mr. Cryptollica Sees Dogecoin Forming a Rounded Base — A Weekly Fractal Accumulation Setup

Mr. Cryptollica (@Cryptollica on X) argues that Dogecoin's weekly chart is forming a familiar pattern: a rounded base that bleeds off volatility, resets momentum and may represent the calm before the storm. In a Dec. 23 TradingView analysis titled "DOGE: The Cycle Repeats (1W Timeframe)", the analyst calls the structure a textbook fractal setup, identifying four prior structural points (1, 2, 3, 4) across DOGE's long-term history and asserting the market currently sits at Point 4. The core thesis is pattern recognition rather than a single indicator: the current structure is said to be rhyming with previous pre-bull run accumulation phases.

Zones 1 & 2 are characterized as past boredom phases where volatility died and smart money accumulated, with Zone 2 described as the launchpad for Dogecoin's massive 2021 parabolic run. The present period, labeled Zone 4, is presented as a near-mirror, showing the same rounding-bottom formation and a heavy base forming before a potential explosive move.

Beyond structure, the momentum argument centers on the RSI. According to Mr. Cryptollica, the red line at roughly the 32 level has acted as a historical floor on weekly RSI — every time the weekly RSI touched or hovered near that baseline (at Points 1, 2 and 3), it marked a macro bottom. The current read is that RSI has reset to this critical support, implying seller fatigue and a momentum setup primed to flip.

Company TradingView gave the analysis additional visibility by selecting the piece as an Editor's Pick and featuring it on the Home Page, prompting a brief exchange: Company TradingView acknowledged the post and Mr. Cryptollica replied with thanks.

But not everyone interprets fractals as destiny. A useful counterpoint came from Mr. ZarinSyed, who stressed that while the fractal is compelling, fractals are not deterministic and macro conditions or liquidity flows can change outcomes. For him, practical confirmation would be a weekly close above the $0.15–$0.17 range. He also noted that momentum confirmation often requires a sustained move above the midline (RSI 50), and until then the risk of prolonged sideways action remains. He added a market-structure caveat: unlike 2020, Dogecoin now trades in a more mature environment with ETF-driven institutional flows, so retail-driven fractals may play out differently.

Translated into trader terms, Mr. Cryptollica is making a high-conviction, weekly-timeframe claim that DOGE is back in an accumulation "buy zone", with RSI near a historical floor and a rounded base resembling prior cycle setups. Mr. ZarinSyed is effectively asking for proof: a breakout, weekly follow-through, and confirmation from relative metrics like DOGE/BTC dominance to determine whether this is a Dogecoin-led move or another altcoin wobble.

Key practical takeaways: watch for a decisive weekly close above $0.15–$0.17 to validate the bullish fractal thesis; monitor RSI recovery above 50 for momentum confirmation; keep an eye on DOGE/BTC dominance and broader liquidity flows; and remember that fractal resemblance is a tool for probabilistic edge, not a prophecy. Risk management, position sizing and confirmation remain essential before treating the chart as a signal to deploy significant capital.