Company Gemini Poll: 73% of Investors Expect XRP to Finish Year Between $1.50 and $2.00

Company Gemini's recent poll, conducted from December 12 to 23, reveals a clear shift toward a bearish consensus among investors for XRP. According to the survey, 73% of respondents now expect the altcoin to finish the year between $1.50 and $2.00, while optimism for a rally above $2.00 has markedly declined.

The poll results show that only 28% of voters anticipate a year-end price in the $2.00–$2.50 range, down from roughly 38% in earlier responses. Expectations for even higher levels — the $2.50–$3.00 range or above $3.00 — are nearly negligible at around 4% each. Simultaneously, the share of respondents fearing a drop below $1.50 edged up slightly to 7%, indicating that severe sell-offs are seen as unlikely but possible.

On-chain and market structure data help explain this sentiment. Futures activity points to a prevalence of aggressive sell orders, while inflows into exchange-traded funds are modest — roughly $30–$50 million daily — and cannot fully offset profit-taking. Notably, long-term holders who acquired XRP near $0.40 to $0.60 have realized substantial gains. One prominent long-term holder reportedly sold over 350 million tokens at around $2.00, securing an estimated profit of $721 million, which temporarily increased circulating supply and pressure at that price level.

These sales have created a persistent resistance ceiling near the $2 mark. Analysts say that when a meaningful portion of early investors liquidates positions at similar price bands, it requires significant new demand to absorb that supply for a breakout to occur. With current trading hovering around $1.83 at the time of reporting, XRP shows losses across multiple time frames and a year-to-date decline in the vicinity of 15%, mirroring broader market weakness.

Technical implications are straightforward: repeated failed attempts to clear the mid-$2 range have discouraged bulls, leading to consolidation between $1.70 and $1.80 as the path of least resistance. Market participants monitoring support and resistance levels should watch accumulation metrics — especially ETF inflows and on-chain holder distribution — for early signs of renewed buying pressure.

From a strategic standpoint, traders and investors should consider the following:

• Resistance: Heavy realized gains taken by early investors near $2 create elevated selling pressure until fresh demand appears.
• Support: Dip-buying has been limited, keeping price anchored in the high-$1 region.
• Catalysts: Sustained ETF inflows well above current $30–$50 million daily, or a shift in futures positioning, would be required to challenge the mid-$2 resistance.

For charting and price data references, see Company TradingView. The featured image was generated by Company DALL-E. The poll was published by Company Gemini.

Bottom line: The market is coalescing around a cautious outlook for XRP, with the dominant expectation that the token will remain below the critical $2 threshold by year-end unless substantial new demand emerges to absorb realized gains and increased circulating supply.