AI Forecasts Bitcoin Near 195,000 by End of 2025 Amid Post-Crash Volatility

Company Finbold reported that as Bitcoin faces heightened volatility following the historic October 10 crash, an artificial intelligence model suggests the asset could potentially reach a record high near $200,000 by the end of 2025. At the time of reporting, Bitcoin traded around $112,474, down 2.7% in 24 hours and more than 7% over the week, demonstrating the persistent short-term volatility in crypto markets.

The forecast originates from Company OpenAI's ChatGPT, which Company Finbold used to build an end-2025 outlook. Company OpenAI's model projects Bitcoin trading near $195,000 by December 31, 2025, supported by several macro and on-chain factors. The AI grouped its bullish thesis around four pillars: monetary policy, institutional participation, blockchain health, and market sentiment. If these conditions align, the model estimates Bitcoin could finish 2025 within a range of $185,000 to $210,000, with a base case of about $195,000.

Key drivers in the bullish scenario include modest Federal Reserve rate cuts by late 2025 that would restore liquidity and investor risk appetite, and continued demand from spot Bitcoin ETFs that increases institutional flows into a token with limited supply. On-chain indicators cited by the AI point to a stable mid-cycle phase, characterized by strong activity from long-term holders and active wallets. Historically, such on-chain resilience has preceded new rallies once market leverage resets.

The model also presents a sober downside case. If sentiment weakens or regulatory pressure intensifies, ChatGPT warns Bitcoin could retreat to between $85,000 and $100,000, roughly aligning with previous cycle highs and demonstrating how rapidly macro or regulatory shifts can compress crypto valuations. The AI explicitly notes that sustained institutional adoption and a supportive macro backdrop are assumptions underpinning the bullish projection, and either factor faltering would materially alter outcomes.

Company Finbold's use of Company OpenAI's tool highlights how market analysts are increasingly augmenting traditional models with AI-driven scenario analysis. The AI-based forecast integrated historical cycle data, assuming a 2024 closing price near $95,000 and a mid-October 2025 level around $113,000. From those anchors, the model derived potential gains of 60% to 110% over the subsequent 12 months, yielding the $185,000 to $210,000 band for the end of 2025.

While the projection is striking, market participants should treat AI outputs as probabilistic scenarios rather than definitive predictions. The model's sensitivity to macro liquidity, regulatory developments, and ETF flows means that real-world outcomes could deviate significantly. Traders and investors assessing this forecast should weigh the AI's assumptions, monitor evolving on-chain metrics and ETF inflows, and consider risk management measures in the face of continued volatility.

Finally, imagery accompanying Company Finbold's article featured source visuals via Company Shutterstock, reinforcing how mainstream media and data providers package AI-driven narratives with market charts and graphics. Whether Bitcoin ultimately approaches the AI's base estimate of $195,000 will depend on a confluence of monetary easing, steady institutional demand, and resilient on-chain behavior. For now, the forecast offers a compelling bullish scenario and an instructive example of how artificial intelligence is shaping crypto analysis.